Zobrazit minimální záznam

dc.contributor.authorMelecký, Martin
dc.date.accessioned2012-08-28T08:54:03Z
dc.date.available2012-08-28T08:54:03Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.identifier.citationEconomic modelling. 2012, vol. 29, issue 4, p. 1377-1387.cs
dc.identifier.issn0264-9993
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10084/94962
dc.description.abstractThis paper estimates a structural macroeconomic model using data for Macedonia and Slovakia to characterize possible challenges Macedonia can face concerning macroeconomic stabilization during its transition process. A comparison of the estimated model parameters suggests that, in Slovakia, the output gap is less sensitive to real interest rate movements and prices experience greater inertia. The estimated monetary policy reaction functions show Macedonia and Slovakia as inflation targeters, with Macedonia as the more conservative one, despite its officially applied exchange rate targeting regime. The differences in the estimated parameters imply differing transmission mechanisms for Macedonia and Slovakia. Consequently, the variance of domestic variables in Slovakia is most influenced by monetary policy shocks, while there is no single dominating shock explaining the volatility of Macedonia's macroeconomic variables. The exchange rate shock, the monetary policy shock and the demand shock are jointly important in determining the volatility of Macedonia's variables. The model simulations indicate that Macedonia experiences lower output gap and inflation volatility than Slovakia. This comes, nevertheless, at the cost of higher interest rate and real exchange rate volatility in Macedonia, which could be an indication of more volatile financial markets with possible negative implications for financial stability.cs
dc.language.isoencs
dc.publisherElseviercs
dc.relation.ispartofseriesEconomic modellingcs
dc.relation.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.021cs
dc.subjectstructural open-economy modelcs
dc.subjectBayesian estimationcs
dc.subjectEastern European transition economiescs
dc.titleMacroeconomic dynamics in Macedonia and Slovakia: structural estimation and comparisoncs
dc.typearticlecs
dc.identifier.locationNení ve fondu ÚKcs
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.021
dc.type.statusPeer-reviewedcs
dc.description.sourceWeb of Sciencecs
dc.description.volume29cs
dc.description.issue4cs
dc.description.lastpage1387cs
dc.description.firstpage1377cs
dc.identifier.wos000306299900046


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