Bayes approach in RDT using accelerated and long-term life data

dc.contributor.authorBriš, Radim
dc.date.accessioned2006-11-10T07:03:06Z
dc.date.available2006-11-10T07:03:06Z
dc.date.issued2000
dc.description.abstract-enA common problem of reliability demonstration testing (RDT) is the magnitude of total time on test required to demonstrate reliability to the consumer’s satisfaction, particularly in the case of high reliability components. One solution is the use of accelerated life testing (ALT) techniques. Another is to incorporate prior beliefs, engineering experience, or previous data into the testing framework. This may have the effect of reducing the amount of testing required in the RDT in order to reach a decision regarding conformance to the reliability specification. It is in this spirit that the use of a Bayesian approach can, in many cases, significantly reduce the amount of testing required. We demonstrate the use of this approach to estimate the acceleration factor in the Arrhenius reliability model based on long-term data given by a manufacturer of electronic components (EC). Using the Bayes approach we consider failure rate and acceleration factor to vary randomly according to some prior distributions. Bayes approach enables for a given type of technology the optimal choice of test plan for RDT under accelerated conditions when exacting reliability requirements must be met. These requirements are given by a hypothetical consumer by two different ways. The calculation of posterior consumer’s risk is demonstrated in both cases. The test plans are optimum in that they take into account Var{λ|data}, posterior risk, E{λ|data}, Median λ or other percentiles of λ at data observed at the accelerated conditions. The test setup assumes testing of units with time censoring.en
dc.identifier.citationReliability Engineering & System Safety. 2000, vol. 67, issue 1, p. 9-16.en
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/S0951-8320(99)00025-3
dc.identifier.issn0951-8320
dc.identifier.locationNení ve fondu ÚKen
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10084/58038
dc.identifier.wos000084262700002
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherElsevieren
dc.relation.ispartofseriesReliability Engineering & System Safetyen
dc.relation.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0951-8320(99)00025-3en
dc.subjectBayes analysisen
dc.subjectaccelerated testingen
dc.subjectreliabilityen
dc.subjectcensored dataen
dc.subjectestimation of failure rateen
dc.subjectposterior risken
dc.titleBayes approach in RDT using accelerated and long-term life dataen
dc.typearticleen

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