Analýza obchodování s vybranými komoditami

Abstract

The aim of this thesis is to analyze the trading with six selected commodities in the years 2006 – 2012 to determine if investment in these financial assets has been advantageous despite the financial crisis. The first part describes the theoretical basis of commodity trading, basic terms and characteristic of analysis of trading with commodities. The second part includes the description of six commodities – light sweet crude oil, natural gas, gold, silver, wheat and coffee Arabica. The third part comprises the analysis of selected commodities which includes determination of the main factors which affect commodity prices, basic parameters of commodities, their comparison with stock index, inflation, GDP and dollar index, and simulation process of prices of each commodity. The thesis ends with total summary of the results including forecast of the possible process of commodity prices in the future.