Ekonomické zhodnocení výroby vodíku pro dopravu v ČR za rizika
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Vysoká škola báňská – Technická univerzita Ostrava
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Abstract
The aim of the diploma thesis is economic assessment of the hydrogen production project for the transport in the Czech Republic under the risk terms. The second chapter is focused on the evaluation of the project for risks and flexibility and on the description of the selected models for forecast of selected random variables. In the third chapter, the hydrogen production project is described, including the input and output commodities created during electrolysis. Also the total procurement expenses of production equipment are calculated here. In the fourth chapter, random variables are simulated, followed by a sensitivity analysis of the project's discounted payback period to a relative change in the price of hydrogen and a relative change in the sold quantity of other output commodities by 30 %. The last part is the assessment of whether the project is worth implementing in terms of payback period.
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Project evaluation, risk, simulation of random variables, Geometric Brownian motion, Wiener process, payback period, hydrogen