Prognóza vývoje ceny komodity na českém trhu

Abstract

The aim of the bachelor thesis is to predict the development of butter prices on the Czech market over a period of three years using the scenario method and time series analysis. The theoretical part describes the scenario method, the STEP method, the time series and the least squares method. The practical part contains the application of the above mentioned methods, including identification and description of the possible development of factors that influence the development of butter prices. In the final part of the work is presented prognosis of price development of butter for a period of three years and there are compared the used methods.