Capital circulation disruptions and company default

Abstract

The paper concerns selection of input variables for discriminant analysis and logistic regression applications as regards default prediction for companies in the Czech Republic. The selection has been based on the assumption that a company default is caused by its capital flow disruptions. These disruptions are reflected by company balance sheet and income statement, that can provide for the establishment of ratio and index indicators. The model based on quadratic discriminant function displayed the most significant classification ability.